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Deal WizardHMO · Property Analysis
2 bedroom flat for sale in Glenbuck Avenue, Robroyston, G33 1LW, G33
Address: Glenbuck Avenue, Robroyston, G33 1LWPrice: £115,0002 Bedroom(s)1 Bathroom(s)Analysis Date: Oct 22, 2025
Tenure Type: FREEHOLDProperty Type: FlatCouncil Tax Band: CSize: 0 sq ft / 0 m²Risk: Medium-HighProject Time: 6 weeks

HMO Investment Analysis

Analysis of 2-bedroom flat at Glenbuck Avenue, Robroyston, Glasgow G33 1LW for HMO potential.

Executive Summary

This analysis evaluates the potential of a 2-bedroom flat in Robroyston, Glasgow, as an HMO investment. The property, listed at £115,000, offers two bedrooms and one bathroom, with a current estimated rental income of £875pcm. Conversion to a 3-bedroom HMO is feasible, primarily by repurposing the living/dining area, generating an estimated monthly rent of £1,700-£2,000 (£550-£650 per room). The primary constraint is the small kitchen size (6.72m²), which may limit occupancy to 3 people under Glasgow City Council's standards. Key risks include the communal space limitations and the potential need for significant refurbishment to meet HMO standards, particularly fire safety. Despite these challenges, the projected returns (ROI ~14.1%, ROCE ~39.9%) are attractive, suggesting a viable investment with a medium risk profile.

Acquisition Overview

Purchase Price
£115,000
Estimated Refurb Cost
£15,000
Acquisition Costs
£8,400
Total Project Cost
£138,400
Deposit (25%)
£28,750
Total Cash Invested
£52,150

Acquisition costs include estimated LBTT (£6,900) and legal fees (£1,500). Total cash invested assumes a 25% deposit on the purchase price, plus acquisition and refurbishment costs.

Projected Rental Income (Post-Refurb)

Estimated Rooms
3
Est. Rent Per Room
£550 - £700
Est. Monthly Rent
£1,800

Based on estimated room rents derived from provided comparables for similar properties in Glasgow, targeting a 3-bedroom HMO configuration.

Projected Cashflow & Returns

Gross Annual Rent
£21,600
Annual Operating Expenses
£7,344
Annual Mortgage Payment
£6,936
Net Annual Profit
£7,320
Monthly Cash Flow
£610
This projection is based on estimated expenses including management (10%), maintenance (£50/mo), insurance (£40/mo), utilities (£100/mo), voids (5%), and council tax (£150/mo).

Mortgage & Financing

Financing assumes a standard buy-to-let mortgage with a 75% LTV. Actual rates and terms may vary.

Refinance Potential

Post-Refurb Valuation (ARV)£160,000Based on comparable HMO conversions in the area.
Refinance Uplift %39.1%Increase from purchase price (£115k to £160k).
Estimated Equity Pulled Out£33,750Total cash invested (£52,150) minus capital left in deal (£18,400).
Capital Left in Deal£18,400Total project cost (£138.4k) minus refinance loan (£120k).

A successful refinance could release significant capital, improving cash-on-cash returns and allowing for reinvestment, demonstrating strong capital efficiency.

Licensing & Compliance

To operate as an HMO for 3 occupants, the property will require a license from Glasgow City Council. This typically involves meeting specific standards for fire safety, room sizes, amenities, and communal space. The current kitchen size (6.72m²) is a potential concern for communal use by 3 occupants under Glasgow's standards.

Amenity Standards Check (Estimated for 3-Bed HMO):

Property & Layout Analysis

Living / Dining Area
Floor: GroundSize: 4.1 x 3.21m (13.16 m²) Ceiling Height: Assumed 2.4m Reconfig Potential: Can be converted into a double bedroom.
Function: Current Living/Dining
Potential Bedroom 3
Kitchen
Floor: GroundSize: 2.8 x 2.4m (6.72 m²) Ceiling Height: Assumed 2.4m Reconfig Potential: Minor upgrades possible. Size is a constraint.
Function: Kitchen
Communal Kitchen
Bedroom 1
Floor: GroundSize: 3.51 x 2.6m (9.13 m²) Ceiling Height: Assumed 2.4m Reconfig Potential: No significant reconfig needed.
Function: Bedroom
Acceptable Double
Bedroom 2
Floor: GroundSize: 3.31 x 2.6m (8.61 m²) Ceiling Height: Assumed 2.4m Reconfig Potential: No significant reconfig needed.
Function: Bedroom
Acceptable Double
Bathroom
Floor: GroundSize: 1.80 x 1.70m (3.06 m²) Ceiling Height: Assumed 2.4m Reconfig Potential: Upgrades for modern finishes.
Function: Bathroom
Existing Bathroom

National Minimums Check:

Capacity & Layout Options:

Option 1
3 Bed HMO (No Lounge)
PASS

Utilises Living/Dining as Bedroom 3. Kitchen serves as sole communal space. May be tight on space for 3 occupants.

Option 2
2 Bed HMO (Original Layout)
FAIL

Does not meet HMO licensing for 3+ unrelated sharers and likely does not maximise investment potential.

Max Compliant Occupant Count: 3. Recommended Layout: 3-bedroom HMO utilising the living/dining area as a bedroom, with the kitchen as the sole communal space.

Layout Reconfiguration Potential

Certainty of Adding Another Bedroom5%Significant structural changes would be required to split existing rooms or add further bedrooms in a flat, making it impractical.

The most feasible reconfiguration is converting the existing living/dining area into a third bedroom. Splitting either of the current bedrooms would result in rooms significantly below minimum size requirements or require complex structural work in a flat. Adding a second bathroom would also be challenging and costly, potentially impacting the viability of a 3-bed HMO.

Rough Cost: £3,000 - £8,000 (for basic conversion of lounge to bedroom, minimal partition, door, decoration).

Worthiness: Considered worthwhile if it enables a 3-bed HMO configuration, increasing rental income. However, the loss of communal lounge space is a downside.

Value Added by Additional Bedroom(s)£25,000 - £45,000Estimated increase in ARV from a 2-bed flat to a 3-bed HMO conversion.
Risk of Change (1-100)30Low-to-medium risk for converting the living room to a bedroom. Higher risk for adding bathrooms due to complexity and cost in a flat.

Refurbishment Plan

Scope & Standard:

Standard: Medium to High. Aim for modern, durable finishes that are compliant with HMO regulations and attractive to professional tenants. Focus on functionality, safety, and aesthetics to maximise rental income and tenant retention.

Refurb Breakdown:

Fire Safety Upgrades£3,500Installation of interlinked smoke and heat alarms, potential fire doors (if required by council), emergency lighting.
Kitchen Refurbishment£3,000Modernisation of units, worktops, splashback, new sink/taps, upgrading appliances (hob, oven, fridge/freezer, washing machine).
Bathroom Upgrade£2,500Modernisation of fittings, tiling, shower/bath, vanity unit, WC.
Bedroom Conversions/Refits£2,000Creating Bedroom 3 from lounge (partition, door), decorating all bedrooms, fitting wardrobes/storage.
Redecoration & Flooring£2,000Painting, plastering touch-ups, new carpets/LVT in key areas.
Electrical Safety Checks & Upgrades£1,000Ensuring all wiring is safe, checking consumer unit, adding sockets where needed.
Plumbing Checks & Minor Repairs£500Ensuring water systems are sound.
General Compliance & Fixtures£500Thumb turns on bathrooms, signage, etc.
Professional Cleaning£300Post-work deep clean.
Contingency (10%)£1,500Buffer for unforeseen costs.
Total Estimated Refurbishment Cost £16,800

Refurbishment Shopping List:

Kitchen:

Bathrooms:

Fire Safety & General:

Other:

Total cost: £7,970 (Excluding contingency, basic materials list)

Refurbishment Timeline:

Weeks: 6 || Months: 1.5

Phase 1: Planning & Procurement || 1 week
Phase 2: Fire Safety & Structural (Partitioning) || 2 weeks
Phase 3: Kitchen & Bathroom Installation || 2 weeks
Phase 4: Decoration, Flooring & Final Finishes || 1 week

Risk Level

Risk Level: 65

Risks & Assumptions

Negotiation Points

Condition & Refurbishment Needs£2,000 - £5,000The property requires significant HMO-compliant refurbishment (£15k+ budget), presenting a clear case for price reduction to cover these costs.
Potential Occupancy Limitation£5,000 - £10,000The risk associated with the small kitchen size and potential inability to license for 3 occupants, limiting rental income, is a strong negotiation point.
Lack of Communal Lounge£2,000 - £4,000Converting the living room to a bedroom removes a key amenity, which can be factored into valuation and negotiation.
EPC Rating C£1,000 - £3,000While a C rating is acceptable, it's not a top performer. Further upgrades to improve EPC could be factored in.
Time on Market / Seller Motivation50% ProbabilityThe property has been listed. If it has been on the market for an extended period, or if the seller is relocating/motivated, there may be room for negotiation. The listing details do not explicitly state urgency, but this should be investigated.

Market Value & Demand Analysis

The property is located in Robroyston, Glasgow (G33), an area known for its residential character with good transport links to the city centre. The provided sales comparables (soldPropertiesCSV) show 2-bedroom flats in this postcode selling in the range of £68,000 to £155,000, with properties similar in size and type often selling between £110,000 and £140,000.

The 'as-is' rental data indicates a current rental value of approximately £875pcm for a 2-bed flat, which aligns with the purchase price and suggests a reasonable 'as-is' yield. The HMO market in Glasgow is generally strong, particularly for professional and student accommodation, driven by the city's universities and growing employment sectors. Demand for well-presented, compliant HMO rooms is consistently high.

Post-refurbishment, the estimated value (ARV) of £160,000 reflects the transformation into a 3-bedroom HMO. This is achievable if the conversion is executed to a good standard, meets all HMO regulations, and appeals to the target demographic. The valuation is supported by the potential rental income of £1,700-£2,000 pcm, which would typically command a gross yield of 9-11% and a net yield well above 7% on the higher valuation, aligning with investor expectations for HMO properties.

Investment Case Summary

Short Recommendation

Proceed with caution. Viable as a 3-bed HMO if licensing is confirmed, offering strong returns. Prioritise due diligence on council regulations regarding communal space. Moderate risk.

Detailed Recommendation

This 2-bedroom flat in Robroyston presents a classic HMO conversion opportunity. The purchase price of £115,000, combined with an estimated £15,000 refurbishment cost, makes it an accessible entry point into the Glasgow HMO market. Financially, the deal shows promise, with an estimated monthly cash flow of £610, an ROI of 14.1%, and a ROCE of 39.9% after refinancing. These figures indicate a potentially profitable investment.

The main challenge lies in complying with Glasgow City Council's HMO regulations, specifically concerning the size and adequacy of communal spaces. The existing kitchen is only 6.72m², which may fall short of standards for 3 occupants, potentially limiting the property to 2 occupants and significantly reducing the investment's upside. Furthermore, converting the living room into a third bedroom means the property would lack a dedicated communal lounge, which could affect tenant appeal.

Key risks include regulatory hurdles with licensing, the potential for unexpected refurbishment costs, and ensuring robust tenant demand for a 3-bed configuration without a lounge. Due diligence, including a pre-application advice meeting with Glasgow City Council's HMO team, is strongly recommended before acquisition to confirm the feasibility of the proposed 3-bed layout.

Identify Motivation for Sale

The listing mentions the property was "Added yesterday" and describes it as a "rarely available modern upper cottage flat". There are no immediate signals of distress (e.g., heavily reduced price, urgent sale language) within the provided description. However, the agent's description is quite standard. Further investigation via the estate agent or checking the property's history on Rightmove for time on market would be necessary to ascertain seller motivation more definitively.

Suggest if Another Bedroom Can Be Added or extension possible to increase the maximise the number of occupants

Certainty of Adding Another Bedroom5%It is highly unlikely to add another bedroom in this flat configuration without major structural alterations that would likely be prohibitive from a cost and planning perspective.

Given it's a flat, adding another bedroom would typically involve subdividing an existing room or reconfiguring the layout significantly. The current bedrooms are of adequate size for doubles, and the living room is best suited for conversion into a third bedroom. There is no obvious space for a fourth bedroom without encroaching on living space or requiring substantial structural changes. An extension is not possible for a flat.

Rough Cost: £8,000 - £15,000 (for a very basic structural alteration and room creation, highly unlikely to be feasible or cost-effective in a flat).

Worthiness: Not Recommended. The cost and complexity outweigh the potential benefit. The focus should remain on optimising the existing layout for 3 occupants.

Value Added by the Additional Bedroom(s)£0 - £5,000 (minimal)Any value added would be marginal due to the impracticality and compromises required.

Estimate Risk Level

Risk Level: 65

This property carries a medium-high risk. The primary concern is the potential non-compliance of the kitchen size for 3 occupants under Glasgow's HMO standards, which could cap the income potential. Refurbishment costs are significant, and the lack of a separate lounge could affect tenant appeal. However, the location and projected returns, if compliance is achieved, offer good upside.

Reasons How I Can Negotiate Price Down

Condition & Refurbishment Needs
The property requires a substantial refurbishment to achieve HMO standards and modernise finishes. This includes fire safety compliance, kitchen/bathroom upgrades, and converting the living room.
Probability: 90%
Price down potential: £5,000 - £10,000
Potential Licensing Hurdle (Kitchen Size)
The small kitchen size (6.72m²) is a significant risk for HMO licensing for 3 occupants. This uncertainty and potential limitation can be used to negotiate the price down.
Probability: 80%
Price down potential: £5,000 - £10,000
Lack of Communal Lounge
Converting the living room into a bedroom eliminates a key amenity, which could impact perceived value and desirability.
Probability: 70%
Price down potential: £2,000 - £4,000
EPC Rating (C)
While acceptable, the current EPC rating of 'C' could be improved. If there's an opportunity to increase this with minor works, it could be leveraged, but the potential for negotiation here is lower.
Probability: 40%
Price down potential: £1,000 - £3,000
General Market Condition / Seller Motivation
The property appears to be a standard sale. Investigating how long it has been on the market and understanding the seller's motivation is key to assessing negotiation leverage.
Probability: 50%
Price down potential: £2,000 - £5,000

Dump Identification: While no significant "dumps" are immediately apparent, the kitchen condition (Image 4 and Image 7 show a functional but basic kitchen that would require upgrading) and the general need for refurbishment across the property suggest a lack of recent investment, which can be used as leverage.

Investment Recommendation

Short Recommendation

Proceed with caution. Viable as a 3-bed HMO if licensing is confirmed, offering strong returns. Prioritise due diligence on council regulations regarding communal space. Moderate risk.

Detailed Recommendation

The property at Glenbuck Avenue, Robroyston, offers a compelling HMO conversion opportunity with attractive projected returns, including a 14.1% ROI and 39.9% ROCE after refinancing. The purchase price of £115,000, combined with an estimated £15,000 refurbishment budget, makes it an accessible entry point into the Glasgow HMO market.

The proposed conversion to a 3-bedroom HMO by utilising the living/dining area is the most logical path to maximizing income. However, the critical factor is the adequacy of the current kitchen (6.72m²) to meet Glasgow City Council's HMO standards for 3 occupants. This requires immediate verification through pre-application advice from the council. Failure to meet these standards could restrict occupancy to 2, rendering the HMO conversion financially unviable and significantly reducing the investment's potential.

Furthermore, the absence of a separate communal lounge post-conversion is a consideration. While compliant, it may appeal to a more limited tenant pool. The refurbishment plan focuses on essential safety upgrades, modernising key amenities, and creating habitable rooms, all within a realistic budget. The property's current EPC rating is 'C', which is acceptable but could be improved with future upgrades.

Given the potential upside balanced against the licensing risk, this deal is recommended *only* after confirming the viability of a 3-occupant HMO license with Glasgow City Council. If confirmed, a negotiated purchase price reflecting the refurbishment needs and licensing risks would enhance the investment's attractiveness further.

Calculate KPIs

Monthly Cash Flow £610 Net rent after all expenses and mortgage payments.
Annual Cash Flow £7,320 Total profit generated annually.
Gross Yield 18.8% (£21,600 Annual Rent / £115,000 Purchase Price) - Rental income relative to purchase price before costs.
Net Yield 11.6% (£14,280 Annual Net Operating Income / £123,400 Total Purchase Cost) - Profitability after expenses but before finance, relative to total acquisition costs.
ROI 14.1% (£7,320 Net Annual Profit / £52,150 Total Cash Invested) - Return on the actual cash invested in the deal.
ROCE 39.9% (£7,320 Net Annual Profit / £18,400 Capital Left in Deal) - Return on capital employed post-refinance, indicating capital efficiency.

All KPIs are based on projected post-refurbishment performance. A net yield above 7% and ROI above 10% are generally considered strong benchmarks for HMO investments. This deal appears to meet and exceed these benchmarks, contingent on achieving the projected occupancy and rental income.

The calculated KPIs indicate a financially strong investment opportunity. The high ROCE suggests efficient use of capital, particularly after refinancing. The substantial cash flow and ROI are attractive, but these are heavily dependent on the successful conversion to a 3-bedroom HMO and tenant demand. Scalability might be limited for this specific property due to its flat nature, but the model could be replicated if similar opportunities exist.