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Deal WizardFLIP · Property Analysis
3 bedroom semi-detached house, St. Lukes Grove, York
Address: St. Lukes Grove, YorkPrice: £290,0003 Bedroom(s)2 Bathroom(s)Analysis Date: Aug 26, 2026
ROI: 12.9 %Tenure Type: FREEHOLDProperty Type: Semi DetachedCouncil Tax Band: BSize: 762 sq ft / 70.8 m²Risk: Moderate-LowProject Time: 8 weeks

FLIP Investment Analysis Report

Comprehensive evaluation for the property located at St. Lukes Grove, York, YO30 6DD. Prepared for investor profile: First-time buyer, utilizing a £40,000 down payment, 3% bank fee, 1% interest rate, and executing a professional residential FLIP strategy. Contact: michal.gorski.84@gmail.com.

Executive summary

Purchase Price
£290,000
Refurbishment Cost
£25,000
Estimated ARV
£375,000
Gross Profit
£42,375
Projected ROI
12.9%

This 3-bedroom semi-detached property in Clifton, York, presents a highly viable residential flip opportunity. Acquired at £290,000 with a £25,000 modernization budget, the asset targets a conservative 75th percentile ARV of £375,000 based on robust local comparable transactions. Factoring in all acquisition taxes, legal fees, bank financing charges (3% bank fee, 1% interest rate), and selling costs, the project yields a healthy 12.9% ROI. The property benefits from no onward chain and strong local demand.

Market Analysis & ARV

Market Value Analysis After Refurbishment

Predicting a realistic market value after refurbishment requires careful calibration against recent transactions in the immediate YO30 postcode and surrounding Clifton neighborhood. While peak local sales reach up to £410,000 (such as upgraded neighboring properties on St. Lukes Grove), we deliberately avoid assuming the absolute highest sold price as achievable. Instead, we anchor our After Repair Value (ARV) at a conservative 75th percentile of £375,000. Nearby comparable properties of similar size and layout consistently demonstrate strong buyer appetite when presented in turnkey condition. The proposed refurbishment directly adds substantial value by transforming dated 1930s interiors—specifically upgrading the worn kitchen, modernizing the bathroom and ground-floor W.C., replacing worn carpets and flooring, smoothing out textured Artex ceilings, and enhancing overall curb appeal with driveway and garden refreshing. These targeted interventions eliminate buyer hesitations regarding deferred maintenance, allowing the property to command top-tier open-market pricing in a highly sought-after residential pocket close to York city centre and local amenities.

Financials & ROI

Total Investment Breakdown

Purchase Price£290,000
Stamp Duty (FTB Exempt)£0
Refurbishment Budget£25,000
Bank Financing Fee (3%)£7,500
Mortgage Interest (1% period)£2,500
Legal & Solicitor Fees£1,500
Surveyor / Homebuyer Report£500
Total Investment Cost£327,000

Exit & Profit Projection

Estimated ARV (Resale)£375,000
Sales Agent Commission (1.5%)£5,625
Total Outlay & Exit Costs£332,625
Gross Profit£42,375
Projected ROI12.9%

Market Trends & Price Appreciation

The York residential market maintains robust resilience, supported by excellent transport links via York Station, prestigious schools, and proximity to major employment hubs. Family homes in Clifton experience steady capital appreciation and fast absorption rates for properties meeting modern aesthetic standards.

Seller Motivation & Opportunity

The property is listed with no onward chain and has undergone a recent price reduction, signaling motivated vendors seeking a straightforward, reliable sale.

Risk Assessment

Overall Risk Level

Risk Level: 35 / 100 – Moderate-Low Risk

Risk Level Explanation

This project carries a manageable risk profile due to strong local liquidity in York, a conservative ARV that sits comfortably below peak comparable sales, and a clearly defined refurbishment scope. Financial exposure is buffered by first-time buyer stamp duty exemptions and a healthy projected profit margin of 12.9%, protecting against minor construction overruns or slight holding period extensions.

Property Characteristics & Risks

Potential for Additional Bedroom

Evaluating the 762 sq ft footprint of the semi-detached layout indicates that adding a 4th bedroom is highly impractical without a costly loft conversion or side extension.

Certainty of Addition20% Estimated Value Added£15,000 Riskiness Score75 / 100 (High Risk for Flip)

Reasoning: A loft conversion would require substantial structural engineering, staircase reconfiguration, and planning permissions, pushing costs beyond £30,000 and eroding flip margins. It is strongly recommended to focus the budget entirely on high-quality 3-bedroom modernization rather than attempting a bedroom expansion.

Negotiation Strategy

Leveraging visual evidence of wear and tear, buyers can effectively negotiate the asking price downward.

Negotiation LeverPrice Down PotentialProbability (1-99)
Outdated kitchen condition (visible dated cabinetry and worn tiling in kitchen photographs) £8,000 85
Aged decor and heavy floral wallpaper requiring full redecoration and skim in the living room £5,000 80
Dated bathroom/shower room and sanitary ware requiring complete replacement £5,000 80
External garden and timber outbuilding maintenance backlog requiring exterior timber care £2,000 75

Refurbishment Plan

Refurbishment Cost Estimate

Refurbishment Type: Pragmatic Mid-Range Flip Refurbishment

Kitchen Modernization (Units, Worktops, Appliances)Importance: 10/10 || Cost: £8,000
Bathroom & Shower Room RefurbishmentImportance: 9/10 || Cost: £5,000
Flooring & Quality Carpets ThroughoutImportance: 8/10 || Cost: £3,500
Plastering, Skimming & DecoratingImportance: 8/10 || Cost: £3,000
Heating, Radiators & Electrical UpgradesImportance: 7/10 || Cost: £2,500
Garden Landscaping & Patio RefreshImportance: 6/10 || Cost: £2,000
Curb Appeal & Driveway ImprovementImportance: 5/10 || Cost: £1,000
Overall Refurbishment Cost£25,000

Refurbishment Shopping List

Contractor Tasks & Costs

Strip out existing kitchen and bathroomCost: £1,000
Full rewiring check and electrical socket installationCost: £1,500
Plumbing reconfiguration for new kitchen/bathroomCost: £1,800
Plastering and skimming all ceilings and wallsCost: £2,500
Kitchen installation and appliance fittingCost: £2,000
Bathroom and shower room fitting & tilingCost: £2,200
Interior decoration (painting walls, woodwork, ceilings)Cost: £2,000
Carpet and flooring installationCost: £1,000
Central heating flush and radiator replacementCost: £1,200
Garden clearance, patio jet-washing & fencing repairCost: £1,000
External driveway tidy & cosmetic touch-upsCost: £500
Builders waste removal and skip hireCost: £850
Final professional sparkle cleanCost: £450

Estimated Refurbishment Time

Weeks: 8 || Months: 2

Phase 1: Strip-out, First Fix Plumbing & Electrics || 2 weeks
Phase 2: Plastering, Skimming & Drying || 2 weeks
Phase 3: Kitchen & Bathroom Installation || 2 weeks
Phase 4: Decorating, Flooring & Second Fix || 1.5 weeks
Phase 5: External Landscaping & Final Clean || 0.5 weeks

Size of the property

Total Floor Area762 sq ft (70.8 sqm)

Conclusion & Recommendation

Short Recommendation

Highly recommended for acquisition and flip execution. A purchase price of £290,000 combined with a £25,000 mid-range refurbishment yields a solid 12.9% ROI (£42,375 gross profit) within an 8-week turnaround, supported by strong local buyer demand in York.

Detailed Recommendation

The investment opportunity at St. Lukes Grove, York, represents a textbook residential flip. Designed for a first-time buyer leveraging a £40,000 down payment, 3% bank fee, and a 1% interest rate structure, the transaction fundamentals are exceptionally sound. The property is offered with no onward chain and exhibits clear cosmetic distress in key areas such as the kitchen, bathroom, and wall finishes, which provides prime negotiation leverage to secure the purchase at or below the £290,000 asking price.

Our financial model accounts for all transaction frictions, including legal fees, homebuyer surveys, bank financing fees, holding interest during the 8-week construction window, and a 1.5% sales agent commission upon exit. By executing a pragmatic £25,000 mid-range refurbishment—focusing heavily on a brand-new kitchen, modernized bathroom, fresh flooring, skimmed walls, and enhanced curb appeal—the property's market appeal will be elevated to match top-tier local comparables.

With an estimated After Repair Value (ARV) of £375,000 (prudently set at the 75th percentile of local achieved prices), the project generates a gross profit of £42,375 on a total investment outlay of £327,000, resulting in an attractive 12.9% ROI. Given York's stable property market and high liquidity for finished semi-detached family homes, execution risk is rated as moderate-low (35/100). We advise proceeding immediately with an offer and locking in contractor availability for project kickoff.