In the print dialog choose “Save as PDF” as the destination.
Deal WizardFLIP · Property Analysis
Property analysis
Address: Chorlton Road, Manchester M15Price: £165,0002 Bedroom(s)2 Bathroom(s)Analysis Date: Nov 18, 2025
ROI: 18.7 %Property Type: FlatEPC band: BSize: 652 sq ft / 60.6 m²Risk: HighProject Time: 6 weeks

FLIP Investment Analysis Report

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the property at Chorlton Road, Manchester M15 5ND, focusing on its flip potential. The analysis includes market valuation, refurbishment strategies, risk assessment, and financial projections for a profitable resale.

Executive Summary

Purchase Price
£165,000
Estimated Refurb
£16,000
ARV (Resale)
£235,000
Gross Profit
£36,975
ROI
18.7%

This 2-bedroom apartment presents a viable flip opportunity, priced competitively at £165,000 with significant comparable sales supporting a higher ARV of £235,000 post-refurbishment. A pragmatic, cosmetic refurbishment costing £16,000 will modernise the property, enhancing its appeal and maximising resale value. Key risks include the substantial annual service charge and the leasehold tenure, but the projected ROI of 18.7% offers a strong return, assuming efficient execution and market stability. This opportunity requires careful management to mitigate risks, but potential profit is attractive.

Market Analysis & ARV

The property is a two-bedroom apartment located in a well-established residential area of Manchester (M15). It benefits from a dedicated parking space and is described as "well presented" with a "newly renovated family bathroom". The surrounding M15 postcode shows active sales data for similar apartments, with recent 2-bed, 2-bath units achieving prices up to £272,450. The current asking price of £165,000 appears below market value for its specification and location, especially considering the included parking.

Market Value Analysis After Refurbishment

The estimated resale value (ARV) for this property post-refurbishment is projected at £235,000. This figure is derived from analysing comparable sales within the M15 postcode. Recent transactions for 2-bedroom apartments, particularly those with 2 bathrooms or in updated condition, have reached prices in the £190,000 to £270,000+ range. Our ARV is positioned at the 75th percentile of these comparable sales, reflecting a realistic achievable price after a focused cosmetic enhancement. The proposed refurbishment strategy aims to align the property with higher-value comparables by modernising key aesthetics. This includes updating kitchen finishes (cabinet fronts, worktops, splashback), refreshing both bathrooms with new sanitary ware and sealant, a full repaint in contemporary neutral tones, and installing new carpeting in bedrooms. These upgrades are estimated to cost £16,000 and are designed to create a desirable, move-in-ready property. The value is added by lifting the overall presentation and perceived quality, appealing to a broader buyer pool and justifying a price point significantly above the current asking. The included secure parking space further supports this ARV.

Financials & ROI

Upfront & Holding Costs

Purchase Price£165,000
Stamp Duty (Investor Surcharge)£4,950
Solicitors (Purchase & Sale)£3,000
Surveyor Report£600
Refurbishment Budget£16,000
Holding Costs (6 months Interest @ 6%)£4,950
Total Investment Cost£197,500

Exit (Sale) Snapshot

Estimated Resale Value (ARV)£235,000
Agent Fees (1.5% of ARV)£3,525
Gross Profit£33,975
Total Investment
£197,500
Gross Profit
£36,975
ROI (%)
18.7%

Market Trends & Price Appreciation

Manchester's property market, particularly in well-connected urban areas like M15, has shown resilience and steady growth. While individual apartment values can be influenced by service charges and lease lengths, the overall demand for 2-bedroom apartments in desirable locations remains strong. We anticipate a modest market appreciation of 2-3% over the projected 6-month holding period, which would further bolster the investment's profitability. The key is to execute the flip efficiently to capture current market value before significant market shifts occur.

Seller Motivation & Opportunity

The listing description ("Ideal for first-time buyers, young professionals, or investors") suggests the seller is open to a broad market and potentially seeking a swift sale. The property is described as "well presented" and has a "newly renovated family bathroom," indicating it's not a distressed sale requiring urgent price drops due to condition. However, the competitive pricing (£165,000 for a 2-bed, 2-bath apartment with parking in M15) and the "Added > 14 days" status may offer an opportunity for negotiation.

Risk Assessment

Risk Level: 70 / 100 – High

Overall Risk Level

This flip is assessed as **High Risk (70/100)**. While the profit potential is attractive, the investment carries significant risks that require careful management. The primary concerns are the substantial annual service charge, the remaining lease term, and the reliance on achieving a specific ARV in a competitive market. Any delays in the refurbishment or sale process, or unforeseen costs, could significantly erode profit margins or lead to a loss.

Risk Level Explanation

The high risk is primarily driven by the tight profit margins achievable after accounting for all costs, especially given the significant service charge (£2,204.55 p.a.) which impacts resale affordability. Reliance on achieving the projected ARV of £235,000 is critical. Delays, market downturns, or unexpected refurbishment issues could negatively impact the ROI. The leasehold tenure, though relatively long (129 years remaining), also adds a layer of complexity compared to freehold properties.

Property Characteristics & Risks

Potential for Additional Bedroom

The property is a 2-bedroom apartment with an additional room identified as an "Office" on the floor plan (2.36m x 2.47m). Converting this space into a third functional bedroom is highly improbable without major structural alterations that are impractical and likely prohibitively expensive for an apartment. The existing layout is already optimised for its size.

Certainty of Fitting Another Bedroom5% Estimated Value AddedMinimal (cost likely outweighs value) Riskiness of Attempt90 - Extremely Risky

Recommendation: It is not recommended to attempt adding another bedroom. The focus should remain on optimising the existing 2-bedroom layout and enhancing its cosmetic appeal.

Negotiation Strategy

High Service Charge (£2,204.55 p.a.)£10,000 - £15,000 (Prob: 80)
Dated Kitchen Finishes (Cabinets)£2,000 - £4,000 (Prob: 70)
Lease Length (129 Years)Negotiable based on buyer sentiment (Prob: 50)
Comparison to Lower Sold Prices£5,000 - £10,000 (Prob: 70)
Time on Market LeverageVariable, based on listing duration (Prob: 60)

Negotiate down on the basis of the high annual service charge, which impacts ongoing affordability for future owners. Highlight the current state of the kitchen's cabinetry, even if functional, as an area for improvement that warrants a price reduction. Use recent sales data of similar properties in the immediate area that sold for lower figures to justify your offer.

Refurbishment Plan

The refurbishment will focus on enhancing the property's visual appeal and modernising finishes to achieve the target ARV. The scope is primarily cosmetic, building upon the existing "well presented" state and the renovated family bathroom.

Refurbishment Cost Estimate

Kitchen Refresh (Cabinet fronts, hardware, worktop, splashback)£3,500 (Importance: 7/10)
Bathroom Refresh (Main & En-suite: taps, shower heads, sealant, vanity updates)£3,000 (Importance: 6/10)
Decorating (Full repaint walls, ceilings, trim in neutral tones)£2,000 (Importance: 9/10)
Flooring (New carpets in bedrooms, refresh/clean elsewhere)£1,500 (Importance: 8/10)
Lighting (Replace old fixtures with modern LED fittings)£500 (Importance: 5/10)
Curb Appeal (Communal area cleaning & minor touch-ups)£500 (Importance: 4/10)
Labour (Skilled trades for all works)£5,000 (N/A)
Total Estimated Refurbishment Cost£16,000

Refurbishment Type: Pragmatic / Mid-Range

Refurbishment Shopping List

Contractor Tasks & Costs

Painter & Decorator£2,000
Flooring Installer£1,500
Kitchen Fitter (Cabinets, Worktop)£1,500
Bathroom Fitter (Minor works, sealants)£1,500
Handyman (Light fitting installation, general tasks)£1,000
Communal Area Cleaners£500
Professional End-of-Tenancy Clean£500
Project Management & Supervision£2,500
Waste Disposal£200
Building Control/Permissions (if required for any minor structural work - unlikely)£0 (Assumed cosmetic)
Total Estimated Labour Cost£11,200

Estimated Refurbishment Time

Phase 1: Planning, Quotes & Procurement
Phase 2: Decorating & Flooring (Bedrooms)
Phase 3: Kitchen & Bathroom Updates
Phase 4: Final Touches, Cleaning & Snagging
Overall Duration: 6 Weeks
Format: Weeks: 6 || Months: 1.5

Size of the Property

Total Floor Area652 sq ft (60.57 sqm)

Conclusion & Recommendation

Short Version

Recommended for a flip. This 2-bed apartment offers a good opportunity for profit. With a projected ROI of 18.7% after a £16k cosmetic refurbishment, it presents an attractive return given the estimated £235k ARV and reasonable purchase price. Key risks (service charge, leasehold) are manageable with careful execution.

Detailed Recommendation

The property at Chorlton Road, Manchester M15, presents a compelling flip investment opportunity with a strong projected ROI of 18.7%. The purchase price of £165,000 is competitive for a 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom apartment with parking in this postcode. A pragmatic refurbishment focused on cosmetic enhancements, costing £16,000, is expected to increase the property's market value to £235,000 (ARV). This uplift is supported by comparable sales data showing higher values for similar units, especially those with modern finishes. The projected gross profit of £36,975, after accounting for all acquisition, refurbishment, selling, and holding costs, offers a satisfactory return for the assumed 6-month holding period. Key risks include the substantial annual service charge (£2,204.55) and the leasehold tenure, which must be clearly communicated to potential buyers. However, the property's condition, location, and the proposed value-add strategy mitigate these risks, making this a viable and potentially profitable flip, provided meticulous project management and timely sale are achieved.