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Deal WizardFLIP · Property Analysis
Property analysis
Address: Blackfriars Road, Salford, Greater ManchesterPrice: £170,0002 Bedroom(s)2 Bathroom(s)Analysis Date: Nov 19, 2025
ROI: 64 %Tenure Type: LEASEHOLD | 230 YRS LEFTProperty Type: FlatEPC band: CCouncil Tax Band: DSize: 735 sq ft / 68.3 m²Risk: MediumProject Time: 4 weeks

FLIP Investment Analysis Report

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the property at Blackfriars Road, Salford, Greater Manchester, M14 6XS, focusing on its flip potential. The analysis includes market valuation, refurbishment strategies, risk assessment, and financial projections, all geared towards identifying a profitable short-term resale opportunity.

Executive Summary

Purchase Price
£170,000
Estimated Refurbishment
£10,000
Estimated ARV (Resale Value)
£320,000
Gross Profit
£124,875
ROI
64.0%

This 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom modern apartment presents a strong flip opportunity. The current market price of £170,000 offers significant room for profit, with comparables suggesting an After Refurbishment Value (ARV) of £320,000. A pragmatic, cosmetic refurbishment costing an estimated £10,000 will enhance appeal. The projected ROI stands at an attractive 64.0%, classifying this property as a moderate risk investment with high profit potential. The property is well-located in a sought-after development, benefiting from excellent transport links and amenities.

Market Analysis & ARV

The property is a modern, well-presented 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom apartment located within the sought-after Spectrum development. Its size of 735 sq ft (68.2 sq m) is standard for city living apartments. The current condition is described as 'stylish and contemporary' with 'sleek, modern fittings', indicating minimal need for major renovations. The primary value-add for a flip will come from refreshing cosmetic finishes, ensuring the property is presented in immaculate condition to attract buyers at the higher end of the market. This approach maximises return on investment by focusing on high-impact, cost-effective upgrades.

Market Value Analysis After Refurbishment

Based on recent sales data for comparable 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom apartments in the M3 postcode area (adjacent and highly relevant to M14 6XS), the market value after refurbishment is estimated at £320,000. This figure represents the 75th percentile of recent sales, considering properties with similar specifications and in good condition. Key comparables include sales reaching £338,173 and £316,841, supporting this valuation. The proposed refurbishment, costing £10,000, will focus on cosmetic enhancements such as a fresh coat of paint, new carpets, updated light fixtures, and minor kitchen/bathroom refresh, ensuring the property presents immaculately. This level of investment is pragmatic and will significantly boost buyer appeal without overcapitalising. The existing modern design of the apartment means the value uplift is derived from meticulous presentation and alignment with current buyer preferences rather than structural changes. This strategic approach allows for a substantial profit margin whilst mitigating risk associated with extensive renovation projects.

Estimated Resale Value (ARV)£320,000 Confidence LevelHigh (based on strong local comps) Assumed Sale Period3 Months

Financials & ROI

Investment Outgoings

Purchase Price£170,000
Stamp Duty Land Tax (SDLT)£0
Refurbishment Budget£10,000
Solicitors (Buy & Sell)£3,000
Surveyor Report£500
Marketing & Agent Fees (1.5% of ARV)£4,800
Holding Costs (6 months mortgage interest @ 6% on £127.5k)£3,825
Total Investment Cost£195,125

Profit & Return

Estimated Resale Value (ARV)£320,000
Gross Profit (ARV - Total Investment)£124,875
ROI64.0%

The projected ROI of 64.0% is calculated as (Gross Profit ÷ Total Investment Cost) × 100. This figure is robust, reflecting a successful flip strategy with significant profit potential. Key influencing factors include the favourable purchase price relative to ARV, the low cost of refurbishment, and efficient transaction management.

Market Trends & Price Appreciation

Manchester city centre and its immediate surrounding areas, including Salford, have experienced consistent property value growth driven by urban regeneration, strong employment markets, and a large student population. Modern apartment developments like Spectrum are well-positioned to benefit from ongoing demand. While specific market fluctuations can occur, the general outlook for this type of property in this location suggests moderate annual price appreciation of approximately 3-5%. This trend supports the feasibility of achieving the projected ARV within a reasonable timeframe and provides a buffer against potential market volatility.

Seller Motivation & Opportunity

There are no overt indicators of distress or a highly motivated seller at this stage. The property is listed in a desirable development with modern features, suggesting a standard sale process. However, the current asking price appears competitive within the local market, potentially offering room for negotiation if strategically approached.

Risk Assessment

Risk Level: 50 / 100 – Medium

This investment carries a medium risk profile. While the projected ROI is strong, potential challenges include achieving the exact ARV in a competitive market, potential delays in sale, and the ongoing costs associated with leasehold properties (service charges, ground rent). The property's modern condition and location in a sought-after development mitigate risks related to extensive repair work or poor buyer demand. Careful management of the refurbishment and sales process will be key to realising the projected profit.

Overall Risk Level

Medium (50/100). The opportunity presents a solid potential return with manageable risks, primarily related to market timing and realisation of the ARV.

Risk Level Explanation

The medium risk assessment is due to a balanced combination of factors: a strong projected ROI (64.0%) and a relatively low refurbishment cost suggest good profit potential. However, risks include reliance on achieving the estimated ARV of £320,000, the sensitivity of city centre apartment markets to economic shifts, and the ongoing financial obligations of leasehold properties (service charges, ground rent). No significant structural issues or damp were identified in the provided images, reducing the risk of unexpected cost overruns.

Property Characteristics & Risks

Potential for Additional Bedroom

As this is a 2-bedroom apartment, adding a third bedroom would require significant structural alterations, such as extending the building footprint or reconfiguring the entire layout, which is impractical and cost-prohibitive for this property type. Therefore, adding another bedroom is not a viable strategy for this flip.

Certainty of Fitting1% (Highly unlikely without major structural work) Estimated Value AddedN/A (Unviable for flip) Riskiness of Attempt99 - Extremely Risky

Recommendation: Do not attempt to add another bedroom.

Negotiation Strategy

Purchase Price vs. ARV PotentialPotential Price Down: £15,000 - £30,000 (Prob: 70%) - The significant gap between purchase price and ARV suggests room for negotiation, even though the current asking price is already competitive against lower-end comps. Highlighting the highest comparable sales (£338k+) can justify a lower offer based on achieving the full ARV potential.
Condition & Refurbishment NeedsPotential Price Down: £3,000 - £7,000 (Prob: 60%) - While modern, point out any minor cosmetic wear, potential for updating specific fixtures (e.g., kitchen hardware, bathroom taps) to maximise appeal, justifying a price reduction to cover these costs.
Leasehold FactorsPotential Price Down: £5,000 - £10,000 (Prob: 50%) - High service charges (£2,800/year) and ground rent can be leveraged. Emphasise these ongoing costs to potential buyers and use them as a basis for negotiating the purchase price down from the vendor.
EWS1 Comfort Letter StatusPotential Price Down: £2,000 - £5,000 (Prob: 40%) - The absence of a full EWS1 certificate may concern some buyers and lenders. This uncertainty can be used to push the price down, framing it as a risk the buyer would be taking.
Time on MarketPotential Price Down: Variable (Prob: 50%) - If the property has been listed for an extended period without significant interest, leverage this to negotiate a reduction.

Note: No visible signs of damp or structural issues were observed in the provided images.

Refurbishment Plan

The refurbishment strategy is pragmatic and cosmetic, focusing on enhancing presentation to maximise saleability and achieve the target ARV. The property is already in good condition, so the aim is to refresh finishes rather than undertaking major works.

Refurbishment Cost Estimate

Decorating (Walls, Ceilings, Doors) - Importance: 8/10£2,500
Flooring (Carpets/LVT) - Importance: 7/10£2,000
Kitchen Refresh (Hardware, Splashback, Clean) - Importance: 7/10£1,000
Bathroom Refresh (Taps, Sealant, Clean) - Importance: 7/10£1,500
Lighting Fixtures - Importance: 5/10£500
Curb Appeal / Communal Areas - Importance: 3/10£500
General Repairs & Touch-ups - Importance: 4/10£1,000
Professional Deep Clean - Importance: 9/10£1,000
Total Estimated Refurbishment Cost£10,000

Refurbishment Type: Pragmatic / Low-cost cosmetic refresh.

Refurbishment Shopping List

Contractor Tasks & Costs

Painter & Decorator£2,500
Flooring Fitter£800
Plumber (Bathroom/Kitchen Fixtures)£700
Handyman (Repairs, Lighting Installation)£1,000
Professional Cleaning Service£1,000
Project Management & Supervision£1,000
Waste Removal (Minor)£200
Materials Supply Fee£2,800

Estimated Refurbishment Time

Phase 1: Preparation, Painting & Priming || 1.5 weeks
Phase 2: Flooring Installation & Minor Kitchen/Bathroom Updates || 1.5 weeks
Phase 3: Final Touches, Fixture Installation & Professional Deep Clean || 1 week
Overall Time: 4 Weeks
Total Weeks4 Total Months1

Property Size

Total Floor Area735 sq ft / 68.2 sq m

Conclusion & Recommendation

Short Recommendation

Recommended for Flip. This modern 2-bed apartment offers excellent flip potential due to its competitive purchase price, strong ARV estimate, and low refurbishment costs. The projected 64.0% ROI and medium risk profile make it an attractive opportunity.

Detailed Recommendation

The property at Blackfriars Road, Salford, M14 6XS, presents a compelling investment case for a flip strategy. The asking price of £170,000 is significantly below the estimated After Refurbishment Value (ARV) of £320,000, creating a substantial profit margin. A pragmatic refurbishment costing approximately £10,000 will involve cosmetic enhancements like painting, new flooring, and minor updates to kitchens and bathrooms, ensuring the property appeals strongly to the end buyer. This approach optimises cost-effectiveness and minimises risk, resulting in a projected Gross Profit of £124,875 and an impressive ROI of 64.0%.

The property's location in a modern development within a vibrant urban area, coupled with excellent transport links, underpins the ARV estimate. While leasehold factors such as service charges and the absence of a full EWS1 certificate present minor risks, they are accounted for in the medium risk assessment (50/100) and have been considered in negotiation strategies. The estimated 4-week refurbishment timeline is efficient, allowing for a swift turnaround from purchase to sale. Given the strong projected returns and manageable risks, this property is highly recommended for investors seeking a profitable short-term flip opportunity.