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Deal WizardFLIP · Property Analysis
Property analysis
Address: Murford Avenue, BS13Price: £275,0003 Bedroom(s)1 Bathroom(s)Analysis Date: Jul 29, 2026
ROI: 17.5 %Tenure Type: FREEHOLDProperty Type: Semi DetachedSize: 850 sq ft / 79 m²Risk: Low to ModerateProject Time: 4 weeks

FLIP Investment Analysis Report

Comprehensive investment evaluation for the 3-bedroom property at Murford Avenue, BS13 9JY. Analysis parameters: {"strategy":"FLIP","analysisParams":"Place holder"}.

Executive summary

Purchase Price
£275,000
Estimated Refurb
£7,500
ARV (Resale)
£345,000
Gross Profit
£50,575
ROI
17.5%

This opportunity presents a highly viable short-term flip strategy in BS13. While internal spaces are presented to a good modern standard, the rear outdoor area suffers from significant accumulated debris, waste, and scattered clutter. Executing a focused £7,500 refurbishment concentrating on garden clearance, waste removal, and minor cosmetic touch-ups unlocks a projected market value of £345,000 (targeting the 75th percentile of local achieved prices). Total investment cost is efficiently managed at £289,250, yielding a robust gross profit of £50,575 and a healthy 17.5% return on investment.

Market Analysis & ARV

Market Value Analysis After Refurbishment

Predicting the post-refurbishment market value requires a pragmatic approach that avoids outliers while anchoring heavily on nearby comparable transactions and active similar listings in the BS13 postcode. Analyzing recent local sold data and competing properties indicates that well-presented 3-bedroom homes in the immediate vicinity achieve between £300,000 and £365,000 depending on overall presentation and external amenity space. Rather than assuming the absolute highest sold price in the area, we establish our After Repair Value (ARV) at the robust 75th percentile benchmark of £345,000. The subject property already benefits from a modern kitchen layout with contemporary dark grey gloss units and wooden worktops, neutral open-plan living areas, and a modern bathroom suite featuring a P-shaped bath and curved glass shower screen. Consequently, major structural or core system expenditures are entirely unnecessary. The value addition is derived directly from heavy curb appeal optimization, professional waste clearance of the rear garden, clearing away unsightly debris, pruning overgrown vegetation, and staging the property for maximum buyer desire. By eliminating the current external neglect and presenting a pristine, turnkey family home with off-street parking and a sunny outdoor space, buyers searching in the £330k–£350k bracket will view this property as superior to competing unmodernised stock. This targeted intervention secures a high absorption rate upon re-listing, minimizing holding periods and maximizing net yield for the investor.

Financials & ROI

Total Investment Cost

Purchase Price£275,000
Stamp Duty (SDLT)£1,250
Refurbishment Budget£7,500
Solicitors (Buy & Sell)£2,000
Surveyor Report£400
Mortgage / Holding Costs (3 mos)£3,100
Total Investment Cost£289,250

Exit & Profit Summary

Estimated Resale Value (ARV)£345,000
Sales Agent Fees (1.5% of ARV)£5,175
Net Proceeds Before TIC£339,825
Total Investment Cost£289,250
Gross Profit£50,575
Calculated ROI17.5%

Market Trends & Price Appreciation

The local Bristol market continues to demonstrate resilient demand for well-maintained 3-bedroom family housing stock, particularly in accessible suburban pockets like BS13. Buyer demand is driven by first-time buyers and growing families seeking proximity to local schools, bus links, and straightforward access into the city centre via arterial routes. Price appreciation in this sector remains stable, supporting a quick 3-to-4 month flip turnaround.

Seller Motivation & Opportunity

The property is listed at £275,000, aligning closely with realistic local market baselines. While the interior is tidy and well-presented, the visual contrast with the heavily cluttered, debris-filled rear garden indicates potential vendor fatigue or oversight in presentation. This mismatch provides an immediate opening for a motivated acquisition below asking price.

Risk Assessment

Overall Risk Level

Risk Level: 35 / 100 – Low to Moderate Risk

Risk Level Explanation

This flip carries low-to-moderate risk because structural and heavy mechanical refurbishments are completely avoided. The property is structurally sound with modern internal fittings. Primary risks are limited to unforeseen waste disposal costs or minor market softening during the 3-month holding period. Clear pricing discipline and swift contractor turnaround mitigate these exposures effectively.

Property Characteristics & Risks

Potential for Additional Bedroom

Reconfiguring the existing layout to add a bedroom is not recommended. The property is a well-proportioned 3-bedroom terraced home where rooms are optimally sized for family living. Attempting a loft conversion or dividing spaces would incur disproportionate capital outlay, push costs beyond budget, and offer zero incremental value in this price bracket.

Certainty of Fitting1% (Not viable) Estimated Cost£25,000+ Value Added£0 Riskiness Score90 – Extremely Risky

Negotiation Strategy

Garden Waste & Debris Clearance Costs£2,500 Price Down Potential (Probability: 85)
External Maintenance & Fencing Repairs£2,000 Price Down Potential (Probability: 80)
Fast Cash/Bridging Purchase Certainty£5,000 Price Down Potential (Probability: 90)
Cosmetic Refresh Allowance£2,500 Price Down Potential (Probability: 75)

Negotiation Insight: Visual inspection of the property photos reveals substantial accumulated debris, scattered litter, discarded timber, and general rubbish scattered across the lawn in the rear garden images. This visible neglect provides a tangible negotiating anchor to drive the purchase price down from £275,000 toward £265,000, further boosting overall profit margins.

Refurbishment Plan

Refurbishment Cost Estimate

Garden Clearance - Importance: 10£1,500
Waste Disposal - Importance: 9£800
Interior Decorating - Importance: 8£1,200
General Repairs - Importance: 7£800
Bathroom Refresh - Importance: 7£1,000
External Front - Importance: 6£500
Flooring Touch-ups - Importance: 6£800
Kitchen Polish - Importance: 5£500
Lighting Fixtures - Importance: 4£400
Total Refurbishment Cost (Pragmatic / Low-cost)£7,500

Refurbishment Shopping List

Contractor Tasks & Costs

Garden Waste Clearance & Rubbish Removal - Cost: £1,200
Ground Leveling & Lawn Tidy - Cost: £800
Interior Painting & Decorating - Cost: £1,000
Fencing Repairs & Painting - Cost: £600
General Carpentry & Door Alignment - Cost: £500
Electrical Fixture Replacement - Cost: £400
Bathroom Deep Clean & Re-grouting - Cost: £400
Kitchen Polish & Unit Adjustments - Cost: £300
Flooring Repairs & Threshold Fit - Cost: £400
External Front Driveway Tidy - Cost: £300
Professional Builder Project Oversight - Cost: £800
Final Sparkle Clean & Waste Clearance - Cost: £300

Estimated Refurbishment Time

Weeks: 4 || Months: 1

Phase 1: Clearance & Waste Removal || 1 week
Phase 2: Decorating & External Repairs || 2 weeks
Phase 3: Final Touches, Staging & Sparkle Clean || 1 week

Size of the Property

Estimated Floor AreaApprox. 850 sq ft (79 sq m) Confidence Level & BasisHigh confidence based on standard 3-bedroom terrace dimensions in BS13 and layout floor plan analysis.

Conclusion & Recommendation

Detailed Recommendation

The acquisition and flip of this 3-bedroom terraced property on Murford Avenue represents an exceptionally strong, low-risk investment opportunity. With a purchase price of £275,000, stamp duty of £1,250, legal and survey outlays, and a tightly controlled refurbishment budget of £7,500 primarily allocated to garden waste clearance and cosmetic enhancements, the total investment cost is capped at £289,250.

The property's interior is already well-presented with modern kitchen fittings and clean living spaces, eliminating the need for invasive capital-heavy restructuring. The principal drag on current market appeal is purely external—specifically the neglected, debris-strewn rear garden visible in the marketing imagery. By deploying a professional clearance team, leveling the outdoor area, refreshing boundary fencing, and executing minor interior touch-ups, the property will easily achieve an ARV of £345,000, comfortably aligned with the 75th percentile of local achieved prices.

Accounting for sales agent fees and holding finance over a rapid 4-week refurbishment and sales pipeline, the project generates a gross profit of £50,575, delivering a stellar 17.5% ROI. We strongly recommend proceeding with an initial offer negotiated down toward £265,000 on the back of the required garden clearance works to further expand profit margins.

Short Recommendation

Strongly Recommended. Secure the property at or below £275,000, execute a £7,500 garden clearance and cosmetic refresh, and exit at an ARV of £345,000 to realize a robust 17.5% ROI (£50,575 gross profit).