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Deal WizardFLIP · Property Analysis
Property analysis
Address: Dyche Street, Manchester, Greater ManchesterPrice: £180,0002 Bedroom(s)2 Bathroom(s)Analysis Date: Nov 19, 2025
ROI: 24.1 %Tenure Type: LEASEHOLD | 231 YRS LEFTProperty Type: FlatCouncil Tax Band: DSize: 720 sq ft / 66.8 m²Risk: Medium-HighProject Time: 5 weeks

FLIP Investment Analysis Report

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the property at Dyche Street, Manchester, M14 6XS (located near Northern Quarter), focusing on its flip potential. The analysis includes market valuation, refurbishment strategies, risk assessment, and financial projections.

Executive Summary

Purchase Price
£180,000
Estimated Refurb
£14,500
ARV (Resale)
£260,000
Gross Profit
£49,500
ROI
24.1%

This is a well-located 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom apartment in Manchester city centre. The property is in average condition and presents a solid flip opportunity following a pragmatic cosmetic refurbishment. With a projected ARV of £260,000 and an estimated ROI of 24.1%, this investment offers good potential profit, balanced by medium-high risks associated with leasehold properties and EWS1 certification status.

Market Analysis & ARV

The property is a generously proportioned two-bedroom, two-bathroom apartment situated in a modern development close to Manchester's Northern Quarter. The existing finish is functional but average, suggesting significant value can be added through cosmetic upgrades to enhance buyer appeal. The location benefits from proximity to city centre amenities, transport links, and vibrant urban life. The analysis of comparable sold properties indicates a strong market for updated apartments in this price bracket.

Market Value Analysis After Refurbishment

The estimated resale value (ARV) of £260,000 is based on the analysis of recent sales of similar 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom apartments in the M4 postcode area, targeting the 75th percentile of comparable properties. The current listing price of £180,000 presents a significant opportunity. A pragmatic cosmetic refurbishment, estimated at £14,500, will focus on updating finishes, such as flooring, kitchen hardware, bathroom fittings, and a neutral redecoration. These improvements will elevate the property from an 'average' finish to a highly marketable standard, appealing to owner-occupiers and investors alike. The strong location and the completion of recent EWS1-related works (scheduled April 2026) further support this ARV. This value uplift is driven by enhanced aesthetics and modern appeal, making the property more competitive in the current market.

Financials & ROI

Upfront & Holding Costs

Purchase Price£180,000
Stamp Duty (England)£0
Refurbishment Budget£14,500
Solicitors (Buy & Sell)£3,000
Surveyor Report£600
Holding Costs (6 mo interest @ 6% on ~£200k)£6,000
Holding Costs (S/C & G/R)£1,000
Total Investment Cost£205,100

Exit & Profitability

Estimated Resale Value (ARV)£260,000
Selling Agent Fees (1.5%)£3,900
Gross Profit£49,950

Key Metrics

Total Investment Cost£205,100
Gross Profit£49,950
ROI24.1%

Market Trends & Price Appreciation

Manchester's property market, particularly in the city centre and surrounding urban regeneration zones like the Northern Quarter, has historically shown resilience and growth. While short-term fluctuations occur, demand for well-presented apartments in accessible locations remains strong. We anticipate a modest price appreciation of 2-3% annually in this segment, which supports the flip strategy over a 4-6 month project timeline. The key driver for profit in this specific deal is the value-add through refurbishment, rather than relying solely on market appreciation.

Seller Motivation & Opportunity

The property has only recently been listed ("Added yesterday"), and there are no immediate indicators suggesting a distressed or highly motivated seller. The asking price of £180,000 appears to be positioned competitively within the current market for similar properties, especially considering the potential for value enhancement. This suggests a standard sale process, where negotiation would be based on market value and required works rather than seller urgency.

Risk Assessment

Risk Level: 55/100 – Medium-High

This investment presents a medium-high risk profile. The primary risks stem from the leasehold nature of the property, specifically the pending completion of EWS1 certification works (scheduled for April 2026), which could impact mortgageability and saleability until fully resolved. While the location is strong and the price point attractive for a flip, potential for renovation cost overruns or a longer-than-anticipated sale period are standard market risks. The projected ROI is healthy, but careful project management and realistic ARV assumptions are crucial.

Overall Risk Level

Medium-High. The positive factors include a good purchase price, strong location, and clear value-add through refurbishment. However, the leasehold status, pending EWS1 certification, and standard market uncertainties contribute to the risk.

Risk Level Explanation

The 'average' finish grade and good location offer clear upside. However, the leasehold tenure with a significant service charge and ground rent, coupled with the outstanding EWS1 certification, introduces complexities. A pragmatic refurbishment plan with tight cost control is essential to mitigate risks and achieve the projected returns.

Property Characteristics & Risks

Potential for Additional Bedroom

The current layout of this 2-bedroom apartment does not lend itself to adding a third bedroom without significant structural alterations or compromising the living space. The floor plan shows a well-defined reception room and two distinct bedrooms. Reconfiguring to add a bedroom would likely involve substantial costs and complexity, making it unviable for a typical flip strategy aimed at maximising ROI within a short timeframe.

Certainty of Fitting5% Estimated Value AddedN/A (unviable) Rough Cost of Addition£25,000 - £40,000 Riskiness90 (Very High)

Recommendation: This should not be attempted. The costs and complexity far outweigh any marginal potential value increase, and it would derail the primary flip strategy.

Negotiation Strategy

EWS1 Certification StatusPotential for £10,000 - £20,000 price reduction (Probability: 75%)
Average Finish Grade / ConditionPotential for £5,000 - £10,000 price reduction (Probability: 70%)
Leasehold Terms (Service Charge/Ground Rent)Minor negotiation point, minimal impact (Probability: 40%)
Time on Market LeverageN/A (Property newly listed)

The most significant negotiation lever is the pending EWS1 certification. Highlighting potential buyer concerns about mortgageability until April 2026 can justify a substantial reduction from the asking price. The average condition also provides a basis for negotiating down the price to reflect the investment needed for refurbishment.

Refurbishment Plan

The refurbishment will focus on a pragmatic cosmetic refresh to elevate the property's appeal, maximising its market value and facilitating a quick sale. The goal is to move the property from an 'average' finish to a modern, desirable standard.

Refurbishment Cost Estimate

Kitchen Refresh (Worktops, Handles, Splashback)£2,500
Bathroom Refresh (Fittings, Taps, Reseal)£2,500
Decorating (Paint, Prep, Skimming)£3,000
Flooring (Carpet, Wood Floor Finish)£3,500
Lighting Fixtures Update£1,000
General Repairs & Maintenance£1,000
Professional Deep Clean£500
Total Estimated Refurbishment Cost£14,000

Refurbishment Shopping List

Contractor Tasks & Costs

Painter & Decorator£3,000
Flooring Installation£1,500
Kitchen Fitter (Worktops, Handles)£1,000
Plumber (Bathroom Fittings)£1,000
Electrician (Lighting Installation)£500
Professional Cleaner£200
Handyman (General Repairs/Prep)£1,000
Project Management & Supervision£1,000

Estimated Refurbishment Time

Phase 1: Planning, Procurement & Preparation — 1 week
Phase 2: Decorating & Flooring — 2 weeks
Phase 3: Kitchen & Bathroom Updates — 1 week
Phase 4: Final Touches, Cleaning & Inspection — 1 week
Total Estimated Time: 5 Weeks (approx. 1.2 Months)

Size of the Property

Total Floor Area720 sq ft (66.8 sqm)

Conclusion & Recommendation

Short Recommendation

Recommended for a flip. This 2-bed apartment offers a strong purchase price for its location and size. A pragmatic £14.5k refurbishment can yield an ARV of £260k and a projected ROI of 24.1%.

Detailed Recommendation

The property at Dyche Street, Manchester, represents a compelling flip opportunity. Acquired for £180,000, the investment includes a £14,500 refurbishment budget, £3,000 legal fees, £600 surveyor, £6,000 estimated holding costs (interest on loan), and £1,000 for service charges/ground rent, bringing the total investment cost to £205,100. With a projected ARV of £260,000 and estimated selling costs of £5,400, the gross profit is £49,950, resulting in an attractive ROI of 24.1%. The refurbishment plan focuses on modernising cosmetic finishes to appeal to the city centre market. Key risks include the leasehold status and pending EWS1 certification completion (April 2026), which necessitate careful buyer management. However, the strong location, competitive purchase price, and clear value-add potential make this a recommended investment, provided project costs and timelines are managed diligently.