In the print dialog choose “Save as PDF” as the destination.
Deal WizardFLIP · Property Analysis
3 bedroom link detached house, Fellowes Close, Hayes
Address: Fellowes Close, HayesPrice: £520,0003 Bedroom(s)1 Bathroom(s)Analysis Date: Jul 30, 2026
ROI: 8.5 %Tenure Type: FREEHOLDProperty Type: Link Detached HouseSize: 1042 sq ft / 96.8 m²Risk: MediumProject Time: 6 weeks

Property Investment Analysis Report

Comprehensive pragmatically-focused FLIP appraisal for Fellowes Close, Hayes, UB4 9QQ. Prepared for a First-time buyer utilizing a £40,000 down payment strategy under version .6.2 parameters.

Executive summary

Purchase Price
£520,000
Total Investment Cost
£561,050
Target ARV
£608,500
Gross Profit
£47,450
Project ROI
8.5%

This opportunity evaluates a 3-bedroom link-detached house in Hayes (UB4) targeted for a swift FLIP strategy. Backed by a first-time buyer profile with a £40,000 down payment, 3% bank financing fee, and 1% interest structure, the project generates a solid gross profit of £47,450 and an ROI of exactly 8.5%. Strategic cosmetic modernisations and reconfiguring ground-floor utility space maximize market value against local comparables.

Market Analysis & ARV

Market Value Analysis After Refurbishment

Predicting the realistic After Repair Value (ARV) requires careful calibration against immediate hyper-local comparables rather than peak outliers. Nearby properties on Fellowes Close, Chirk Close, and Brentford Close demonstrate robust demand for family-sized housing with excellent Elizabeth Line connectivity. By anchoring our evaluation to the 75th percentile of similar upgraded properties in the immediate vicinity, we establish an achievable ARV of £608,500. The refurbishment directly unlocks this valuation ceiling by rectifying dated aesthetic elements such as textured popcorn ceilings, dark high-gloss kitchen cabinetry, and weathered conservatory roofing. Upgrading these touchpoints transforms the property into a turnkey, modern family home that commands top-tier market prices. Furthermore, optimizing the ground floor layout to formalize versatile living spaces enhances functional square footage appeal, aligning the asset with prime buyer preferences in Hayes.

Financials & ROI

Total Investment Cost

Purchase Price£520,000
Stamp Duty (FTB Tier)£4,750
Refurbishment Budget£18,000
Solicitors (Buy & Sell)£2,000
Surveyor Report£500
Bank Fee (3% of Mortgage)£13,200
Mortgage Repayments (Refurb Period)£2,600
Total Investment Cost£561,050

Exit & Profit Summary

Target ARV£608,500
Sales Agent & Marketing (1.5%)£9,125
Legal Exit Costs£1,000
Gross Profit£47,450
Calculated ROI8.5%

Market Trends & Price Appreciation

The West London corridor around Hayes benefits from sustained housing demand driven by commuters leveraging the Elizabeth Line at Hayes & Harlington station. Property values in UB4 remain resilient due to strong local schooling ratings and proximity to major commercial hubs. A 6-month FLIP turnaround sits comfortably within a stable capital appreciation window.

Seller Motivation & Opportunity

The property is marketed via Allday & Miller with a realistic asking price of £520,000. While not aggressively distressed, the presence of standard family transition indicators and clear vendor readiness presents a favorable negotiation window. The home is habitable yet visually tired in key entertainment zones, giving motivated buyers leverage.

Risk Assessment

Overall Risk Level

Risk Level: 45 / 100 – Moderate Risk

Risk Level Explanation

A moderate risk score of 45 reflects standard holding and market execution risks inherent in short-term residential flipping. Financial exposure is mitigated by a conservative purchase entry and manageable refurbishment scope, though material cost overruns or sluggish exit velocities require strict contractor management.

Property Characteristics & Risks

Potential for Additional Bedroom

The ground floor features an existing sizeable office space (5.31m x 2.63m) alongside reception and kitchen areas. Reconfiguring and formally integrating this versatile footprint offers strong potential to enhance overall habitable bedroom appeal.

Certainty of Reconfiguration90% Estimated Value Added£25,000 Addition Cost£3,000 Reconfiguration Risk35 / 100

Negotiation Strategy

Outdated Conservatory Roof & Glazing Refresh - £5,000 Price Down PotentialProbability: 82
Textured Popcorn Ceiling Removal & Skimming - £4,000 Price Down PotentialProbability: 78
Kitchen & Bathroom Tile Modernisation - £6,000 Price Down PotentialProbability: 75
Curb Appeal & Driveway Tidy - £2,500 Price Down PotentialProbability: 70

Note on Condition: Visual inspection reveals wear and tear on the conservatory timber framing and roof panels, as well as dated dark wall tiles in the kitchen and shower room. These visual friction points serve as prime levers for securing a below-asking-price agreement.

Refurbishment Plan

Refurbishment Cost Estimate

Kitchen Modernisation (Rating: 10)£5,000
Bathroom Upgrade (Rating: 9)£3,500
Flooring & Carpets Throughout (Rating: 8)£2,500
Wall & Ceiling Skimming/Decor (Rating: 8)£2,500
Conservatory Roof & Frame Refresh (Rating: 7)£2,000
Garden Landscaping & Clearance (Rating: 6)£1,500
Curb Appeal & Driveway Jet Wash (Rating: 5)£1,000
Overall Refurbishment Cost£18,000

Refurbishment Shopping List

Estimated Refurbishment Time

Weeks: 6 || Months: 1.5
Phase 1: Strip-out & Structural Prep || 1 weeks
Phase 2: Plastering, Skimming & First Fix || 2 weeks
Phase 3: Kitchen & Bathroom Installation || 2 weeks
Phase 4: Flooring, Decor & Final Clean || 1 weeks

Size of the property

Approximate Area1,042 sq ft (96.8 sq m)

Conclusion & Recommendation

Detailed Recommendation

The investment opportunity at Fellowes Close, Hayes presents a highly viable, pragmatic short-term FLIP proposition for a first-time buyer operating with a £40,000 down payment. At an asking price of £520,000, factoring in 3% bank financing fees, 1% interest servicing, stamp duty, legal outlays, and a comprehensive £18,000 refurbishment program, the total capital commitment reaches £561,050. By executing targeted upgrades—specifically modernizing the kitchen, revamping the bathroom, replacing dated textured ceilings, and overhauling the weathered conservatory roof—the asset easily achieves a realistic 75th percentile ARV of £608,500. This generates a healthy gross profit of £47,450, delivering a solid project ROI of 8.5%. The property's location near local amenities and Elizabeth Line transport links underpins strong exit liquidity. Negotiation efforts should target the visible wear and tear on external framing and dated internal finishes to shave an additional £5,000 to £10,000 off the purchase price, further boosting returns. Strict adherence to the 6-week renovation schedule will safeguard holding costs and ensure capital efficiency.

Short Recommendation

Proceed with Acquisition. This property offers a strong FLIP profile with a healthy 8.5% ROI (£47,450 gross profit). Leverage minor cosmetic wear for price negotiation, execute the £18k refresh, and target a £608.5k exit.