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Deal WizardFLIP · Property Analysis
Property analysis
Address: St. Lawrence Street, Manchester, Greater ManchesterPrice: £100,0002 Bedroom(s)2 Bathroom(s)Analysis Date: Nov 20, 2025
ROI: 75.5 %Tenure Type: LEASEHOLD | 104 YRS LEFTProperty Type: FlatEPC band: CCouncil Tax Band: BSize: 734 sq ft / 68.2 m²Risk: Medium-HighProject Time: 6 weeks

Property Investment Analysis Report

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the property at St. Lawrence Street, Manchester, M14 6XS, focusing on its flip potential. The analysis includes market valuation, refurbishment strategies, risk assessment, and financial projections to guide potential investors.

Executive Summary

Purchase Price
£100,000
Estimated Refurbishment
£15,000
Estimated ARV
£220,000
Gross Profit
£94,650
ROI
75.5%

This 2-bedroom apartment in Manchester presents a compelling flip opportunity. With an attractive purchase price of £100,000 and a modest refurbishment budget of £15,000, the estimated After Repair Value (ARV) is £220,000. This yields a strong projected ROI of 75.5%, driven by the significant uplift achievable through a cosmetic refresh. The property's condition and location support this value increase. While risks exist, primarily related to ARV accuracy and market conditions, the overall investment case is favourable for a flip strategy.

Market Analysis & ARV

The property is a 2-bedroom apartment located at St. Lawrence Street, Manchester, M14 6XS. Built in 2005, it offers modern construction with 734 sq ft of living space, including an open-plan living/kitchen area, two bedrooms, and one bathroom with an en-suite. The current asking price of £100,000 appears significantly below the market value for similar properties in the area, especially considering its proximity to Manchester city centre and its potential for value enhancement through a cosmetic refurbishment.

Market Value Analysis After Refurbishment

The estimated market value after refurbishment (ARV) is projected at £220,000. This figure is derived from comparable sales data for 2-bedroom apartments in the M15 postcode area, which is in close proximity and shares similar market dynamics. Recent sales of 2-bedroom apartments with one or two bathrooms, generally around 600-800 sq ft, indicate a market value range that supports this ARV. For instance, properties like Flat 112, Britannia Mills, M15 4LB, sold for £245,000 (2 bed, 1 bath), and Flat 417, The Box Works, M15 4NU, sold for £236,000 (2 bed, 1 bath). Our ARV of £220,000 represents a conservative but achievable valuation, leaning towards the mid-to-upper end of similar 1.5-bathroom properties, assuming a successful cosmetic refresh. The refurbishment will focus on modernising finishes, creating a fresh and appealing living space that aligns with buyer expectations in this competitive urban market. This strategic uplift justifies the projected resale value.

Financials & ROI

Investment Costs

Purchase Price£100,000
Stamp Duty (SDLT)£0
Refurbishment Budget£15,000
Solicitors (Buy & Sell)£3,000
Surveyor Report£600
Holding Costs (Interest @ 6% for 6mo)£3,450
Total Investment Cost£125,050

Potential Return

Estimated Resale Value (ARV)£220,000
Selling Agent Fees (1.5%)£3,300
Gross Profit£94,650
ROI75.5%

The projected Return on Investment (ROI) is a strong 75.5%. This is calculated based on a total investment cost of £125,050 (including purchase price, refurbishment, associated fees, and holding costs) against a projected gross profit of £94,650 from an ARV of £220,000. Key influencing factors include the attractive entry price, the planned cosmetic refurbishment to modernise the property, and the efficient management of holding and selling costs. The ROI is robust, indicating significant profit potential from this flip.

Market Trends & Price Appreciation

Manchester's property market, particularly in areas with good transport links to the city centre, continues to show resilience. While the current market might see moderate price growth, the primary value uplift for this investment comes from the refurbishment strategy rather than market appreciation alone. The property is located in an area with consistent rental demand, which supports its resale value. A planned short holding period (estimated 6 months) minimises exposure to significant market downturns.

Seller Motivation & Opportunity

The property is listed via auction ("First for Auctions"), which can often indicate a motivated seller looking for a swift and definite sale. While no explicit distress signals are present in the listing description, the auction format itself provides an opportunity to potentially acquire the property at a favourable price point, especially if bidding is limited or competition is lower than expected. The asking price of £100,000, while appearing low for the area, could be a strategic starting bid or indicative of a seller seeking a quick disposal.

Risk Assessment

Risk Level: 60/100 – Medium-High

This investment carries a medium-high risk profile. The primary risk lies in the accuracy of the ARV prediction; while based on comparable sales, the property market can fluctuate, and individual unit sales may vary. The property's leasehold tenure, with a service charge of £2,358 per annum, could also influence buyer appeal and potentially affect resale time or price. The refurbishment is cosmetic, mitigating risks associated with structural issues or significant overruns. However, achieving the targeted ARV relies on effective marketing and market conditions at the point of sale.

Overall Risk Level

Medium-High.

Risk Level Explanation

The risk is assessed as medium-high due to reliance on achieving the projected ARV of £220,000. While comps support this, market shifts or unforeseen buyer preferences could impact the final sale price. The leasehold structure with service charges presents a potential challenge for resale. However, the cosmetic nature of the planned refurbishment and the attractive entry price mitigate some risk.

Property Characteristics & Risks

Potential for Additional Bedroom

The property is a 2-bedroom apartment. Adding a third bedroom would require significant structural alterations and reconfiguration of the existing layout, which is impractical and cost-prohibitive for a standard flip project. The floor plan is typical for a 2-bedroom apartment, and there is no obvious space for a new bedroom without compromising existing living areas or requiring costly extensions.

Certainty of Fitting1% Estimated Value AddedN/A (Unviable for Flip) Riskiness95 (Extremely Risky)

Recommendation: Do not attempt to add a third bedroom. Focus on optimising the existing layout and enhancing its appeal.

Negotiation Strategy

Given the property is being sold via auction and the attractive initial price point, there is potential for negotiation, especially if it fails to meet reserve or if the seller is motivated by speed.

Auction Context / Motivated SellerPotential for discount if reserve is not met (Probability: 70)
Condition / Cosmetic Work NeededLeverage the £15,000 refurbishment cost to negotiate down (Probability: 60)
Leasehold Service ChargeHighlight ongoing costs to buyers and use as negotiation leverage (Probability: 50)
ARV UncertaintyArgue for a lower price based on achievable resale value risk (Probability: 40)

Refurbishment Plan

The refurbishment will focus on a pragmatic, cosmetic upgrade to maximise appeal and value, consistent with a flip strategy. The goal is to modernise the aesthetic without over-capitalising.

Refurbishment Cost Estimate

Kitchen Refresh (Worktop, Splashback, Handles, Taps)£4,000(Importance: 9/10)
Bathroom Refresh (Vanity, Taps, Shower Head, Seals)£4,000(Importance: 9/10)
Decorating (Walls, Ceilings, Woodwork)£2,000(Importance: 8/10)
Flooring (Carpet/Laminate/Vinyl)£2,500(Importance: 7/10)
Deep Clean & Sanitisation£800(Importance: 8/10)
Minor Repairs (Skirting, Touch-ups)£1,000(Importance: 7/10)
Lighting Fixtures (Modern LED upgrades)£500(Importance: 6/10)
Professional Photography for Sale£200(Importance: 8/10)
Total Estimated Refurbishment Cost£15,000

Refurbishment Type: Pragmatic Mid-Range. This approach focuses on essential cosmetic upgrades that provide the best return on investment, modernising the property without unnecessary expense.

Refurbishment Shopping List

Contractor Tasks & Costs

Painter & Decorator£2,000
Kitchen Fitter / Carpenter£1,500
Bathroom Fitter / Plumber£2,500
Flooring Installer£1,000
Handyman (Repairs, Painting Prep)£1,000
Electrician (Fixture Upgrades)£500
Professional Cleaning Service£800
Project Management & Supervision£1,200
Waste Removal£200
Photographer£200
Final Quality Check & Snagging£300

Estimated Refurbishment Time

Phase 1: Planning, Procurement & Deep Clean — 1 week
Phase 2: Painting & Decorating — 1.5 weeks
Phase 3: Flooring Installation — 1 week
Phase 4: Kitchen & Bathroom Refurbishment — 2 weeks
Phase 5: Final Touches, Photography & Listing — 0.5 week
Total: 6 weeks (approx. 1.5 months)

Size of the Property

Total Floor Area734 sq ft (68.19 sqm)

Conclusion & Recommendation

Short Recommendation

Recommended for a Flip. This property offers a strong flip potential with an estimated ROI of 75.5% after a £15,000 cosmetic refurbishment, targeting an ARV of £220,000.

Detailed Recommendation

The apartment at St. Lawrence Street, Manchester, M14 6XS, represents an attractive flip opportunity. The purchase price of £100,000, coupled with a realistic refurbishment budget of £15,000, allows for a significant value uplift to an estimated ARV of £220,000. This strategy yields a projected ROI of 75.5%, driven by cosmetic improvements such as updated kitchen and bathroom finishes, fresh decoration, and new flooring. The property's location and the positive market comparables support the target ARV. Key risks include achieving this ARV and potential market shifts, but these are mitigated by the cosmetic nature of the works and the strong potential profit margin. The leasehold tenure and service charge are noted considerations for future buyers. Overall, this is a promising project for an investor seeking a profitable, well-defined flip with a clear path to value creation.